Dohiyi Mir
    In Which NTodd Says His Peace

Saturday, August 09, 2003
Go to the new DM blog.


New Pew Poll


The Pew Research Center released results from a new poll this week.

First, Dean is gaining more ground:

Since July, former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean has made somewhat larger gains than the other candidates. His name recognition is up nine points (from 37% to 46%), and among those who have heard of Dean, 41% say there is a "good" or "some" chance they would vote for him, up from 32% in July.

Still behind nationally, but clearly Howie's still got the Big Mo. Also, this survey was conducted from July 14 - August 5, so it's possible that even more people will know about him with the increased coverage he's been getting (e.g., Larry King, cover stories in the major newsweeklies, etc).

One question about the 1% who didn't recognize George Bush: under what rock are they hiding?

Bush's numbers:

A 53% majority approves of the job George W. Bush is doing as president while 37% disapprove. That is the highest negative rating the president has received since taking office. After reaching a peak of 86% just after the Sept. 11, 2001 terrorist attacks, the president's approval rating declined through much of 2002 and early 2003, before rallying to 74% during the war in Iraq.

This spike was shorter in duration and smaller in size than the one experienced by Bush's father.
...
The poll finds 53% dissatisfied with the state of the nation, while 40% are satisfied. The 40% satisfaction essentially matches the low points in the national mood experienced just prior to Sept. 11, 2001 and again in September 2002.

Bottom-line: Bush is continuing to lose ground as people start to open their eyes. His lead over potential Dem opponents has shrunk. The American public is becoming even more pessimistic about Iraq, wants a greater focus on the economy and is even willing to give up tax cuts to pay for better security and health care. Admittedly, I look at most things through a pro-Dean filter, but can anybody tell me how these findings don't help Howie? This is all playing to his strengths.

Anyway, the poll report is long, but well worth a full reading. Discuss.

ntodd 
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A non-violent, counter-dominant, left-liberal, possibly charismatic, quasi anarcho-libertarian Quaker's take on politics, volleyball, and other esoterica.

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