Dohiyi Mir
    In Which NTodd Says His Peace

Sunday, January 18, 2004
Go to the new DM blog.


Based on my astute reading of the tea leaves in Iowa:

Dean: 30%
Gephardt: 27%
Kerry: 22%
Edwards: 16%

Other completely random guesses for post-Iowa: Dennis Kucinich will drop out after this first real voting (DC notwithstanding). Lieberman will drop out after NH. Sharpton will stay in the race through SC. Kerry will loan himself more money and stay in through SC as well. Clark and Dean will duke it out until summer.

Other thoughts?


PS--Check out the Caucus 2004 website.

[Update: Kos has a different take:

Dean 33
Gephardt 29
Kerry 20
Edwards 14

Turnout: a whopping record-shattering 11 percent.

What the heck, I'll take a stab at turnout: 17 percent (oops, forgot the '1').]

June 2003 July 2003 August 2003 September 2003 October 2003 November 2003 December 2003 January 2004 February 2004 March 2004 April 2004 May 2004 April 2007


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