It Ain't Over Until It's Over

Gallup:

Despite the public's willingness to agree that Hussein's capture is a major achievement for the United States, the Sunday poll shows no immediate evidence that there will be a substantial increase in the percentage of Americans who agree with the basic premise of the war.
...
[M]ost Americans say the capture won't affect their vote: 45% of those interviewed said they were planning on voting for Bush even before the capture, while almost as many, 43% said they were planning not to vote for Bush and that the capture would not change their opinion. That leaves just 3% of Americans* whose immediate reaction was to admit that they have become more likely to vote for Bush as a direct result of the capture of Hussein.

[T]he fact that there is no immediate self-awareness of a change in position on Bush suggests the need for caution in assumptions that Sunday's events are going to recast the election in any substantial way.

Gee, I'd hate to ponder the electoral ramifications, but if I did, I would probably caution people against writing political obits for Dean and the Dems. This poll seems to bolster any speculation I might have engaged in, if I had been inclined to do so.

ntodd

* 8% had no opinion, and 1% said they weren't going to vote.  ¶ 9:31 PM